Trade and FA

Brad Hill – Market Value

BRADLEY-HILL

Player Name: Brad Hill

Current Club: Hawthorn

Potential Club: Hill wants to go to Fremantle to play with his brother. This was announced with just over a month left in the season, and his form after that point was much better than it had previously been.

The Original Price: Hill was taken with the 33rd pick of the 2011 National Draft, and has proven to be a good selection. Jack Newnes and Lachie Neale were taken after him, however the Hawks filled a need and Hill is now a three-time premiership player.

The Good: Hill works hard and is a constant presence on the wing. He has kicked over 10 goals in each of his past four seasons, which is fantastic for him to be regularly hitting the scoreboard one way or another. At 23 years of age, he’ll only get better, and could be one of the more underrated outside players in the competition.

The Bad: His kicking has always been a bit of a concern, as has been his form. Hill has far too many quiet games, mixed in with the odd blinder, and he needs to bridge the gap between the two. The other worry is that he has regressed since 2014, when he had an outstanding season on the wing. This year he only averaged 17.4 disposals and three marks a game, clearly his lowest since 2013.

What his club wants: The Hawks would love a first round pick for a 23-year-old, three-time premiership player, but realistically, that’s overs. Hawthorn will push hard for a higher pick, given he is still in contract, however they’ll settle for a fair offer from the Dockers.

What he’s worth: Hill is worth a mid-second-round pick, as outside players aren’t all that valuable, and his consistency is a concern. Of course, he still has upside having only been in the AFL for five seasons, and a potential move to the Dockers to play with his brother could see a sharp rise in his performances, but at the moment, Fremantle couldn’t justify overpaying for Hill.

What we’d pay: Pick 25-30

Possible Trade Scenarios:

Fremantle traded away its second-round pick for Harley Bennell last season, so the teams will have to get creative to get a potential deal done. Incorporating picks they get for trading players is a likely scenario, but at this stage, their best chance is:

  1. Fremantle trades its 2017 second round selection to Hawthorn, Hawthorn sends Brad Hill to Fremantle.

The Verdict: If Hill still wants to go to Fremantle, it’s hard to see Hawthorn stopping him. If the Hawks can end up getting a solid pick in either this year’s or next year’s draft, they’ll be happy enough with the result.

Star Rating: 3.5/5 – Fremantle is the likely winner out of any trade, as they’ll be potentially bringing in a happy, settled player who has plenty of finals experience.

 

 

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