Prophet's Profit

Prophet’s Profit: Round 2

The Prophet’s Profit is back with a bang for a 5th year! Here to take you through the ups and down of the fantasy season. The aim of this article is to empower you with knowledge of the current fantasy stock market.

Round 2 done and dusted, it’s time to start looking at the trend line of players based on the first couple of rounds, as well as how they went in the pre-season. Savvy traders can take advantage of players formline over the first couple of rounds and grab themselves a bargain to strengthen their team for the rest of the year.

SELL HIGH!

Marc Murphy
The Carlton captain has had a sensational start to the season. He had 35 possessions in Round 1 and 31 possessions in Round 2 against the Tigers and Demons respectively. The question that remains to be answered is that will he continue at this pace for the rest of the season. I don’t think he will continue to average the 132 that he is currently averaging. I do respect Murphy as a footballer, and his form is real, but he is more likely to average between 100 to 105 for the rest of the season rather than the heights he is currently at.

Clayton Oliver
While the Demons midfielder has had a sensational start to the year with a 129 fantasy point average over the first two games I’m not sure whether he will continue at this rate for the rest of the season. From a football perspective he has been damaging against both the Saints and the Blues in the first couple of games of the season. It’s only a matter of time before teams start paying attention to him, as negating his impact on a football game may be the key to beating the Demons this season.

BUY LOW!

Jaeger O’Meara
Fantasy scores of 65 and 83 in the first couple of rounds will be under what his owners expected of him when they drafted him. However, his 83 points on the weekend came from 36 possessions, with 30 handballs and only the 6 kicks. You would expect as he becomes more accustomed to the game style of the Hawks and grows more confidence throughout the season he will start moving the ball by foot more often, and increase his output from a fantasy perspective as a result.

INJURY CORNER!

Jamie Elliott and Levi Greenwood – Test
Both Elliott and Greenwood are a chance to return this week. Elliott is available in 13% of leagues and Greenwood is available in 18% of leagues, so if by chance they’re available on the wire you should be going to pick them up. However, most leagues they’re owned, and if you’re considering to trade it might be worth doing a 3 for 2 type trade and getting them in as the sweetener in the deal. Because next week or in one week you could have a solid starting forward for the rest of the season.

Tom Langdon – 1-2 weeks
Another Magpie who is returning soon is Tom Langdon. The defender has had an interrupted pre season and may be welcomed back into the Magpies defence, considering the disposal efficiency problems off half back from the likes of Jackson Ramsay and Brayden Maynard. He is available in 46% of leagues. The defender averaged 80 in 2015, but only 72 from five games in 2016 after an injury interrupted year.

Stephen Coniglio – 4 weeks
If you’re in a strong 2-0 position in your league, and think you can hold Coniglio for four weeks it might be worth making an offer to his owner. He averaged 103.4 last season in fantasy and will walk straight back into the Giants midfield.

Michael Hibberd 1-2 weeks
The former Bombers defender is 1-2 weeks away from a return according to the AFL injury list. But with an achillies injury I wouldn’t be rushing to buy him in from his owner. Achillies tendonitis can take a while to come back from, and the Demons will be keen to see him return to full fitness, possibly through the VFL, before making his debut for the senior side.

KEEPER LEAGUE WATCH!

Harley Balic
As reported by Footy Prophet’s resident reserves and draft expert Matt Palfreman, the Fremantle youngster has been dominating in the WAFL.

Considering Fremantles current form he is worth adding on the waiver wire in most leagues, especially keeper leagues. His C/F eligibility makes him a must add.
Leave a comment in the comments section below if you have a question.

20 Comments

20 Comments

  1. James

    April 8, 2017 at 1:42 pm

    Any thoughts on B Goddard gaining back status? Has been named in the backline again this week

  2. Peter

    April 7, 2017 at 11:47 am

    mitch robinson F position change?

  3. Liam

    April 6, 2017 at 5:17 pm

    Jake Melksham added B?

    • Anthony Wingard

      April 6, 2017 at 10:27 pm

      That one looks very likely to happen!

  4. Cooked

    April 6, 2017 at 12:53 pm

    Any thoughts on what to do with Brandon Ellis?

    • Michael

      April 7, 2017 at 7:25 am

      Im keeping him, his heat maps suggest may get back status. Im certainly hoping he does haha

  5. Billy Hoyle

    April 6, 2017 at 9:23 am

    In draft, is Zak Jones still worth persisting with?

    • Alex Mulholland

      Alex Mulholland

      April 6, 2017 at 12:13 pm

      Definitely worth persisting. Got 96 in the first game, and has a nice match up against the Pies this week. If he gets a sub-70 score you can start to think about dropping him, but for now you have to give him a go.

      • Billy Hoyle

        April 6, 2017 at 8:43 pm

        Being named in the centre is a great start atleast!

        • Billy Hoyle

          April 8, 2017 at 1:15 pm

          Not bad, couldve had a better score if it werent for the holding the ball brainfade.

          Got another one for you. Time to invest in B Crouch now and drop Parish?

          Parish may keep doing well with the teams high fantasy points output. 71 points vs Lions 65% game time!

  6. Bernard

    April 5, 2017 at 9:20 pm

    Will you be doing a position change article?
    What about these guys?
    Looking to get them in before RFA kicks in over the weekend.
    Jack Newnes
    Robbie Gray
    Brandon Ellis
    Liam Picken.

    Cheers for the great article Alex. Your a legend

  7. Douglas

    April 5, 2017 at 6:42 pm

    Mitch Robinson a chance at fwd?

  8. David

    April 5, 2017 at 6:10 pm

    Who comes out top in this trade – Macrae for Josh Kelly and Devon Smith???

    • Alex Mulholland

      Alex Mulholland

      April 5, 2017 at 10:24 pm

      The Josh Kelly and Devon Smith side with that one. Cheers

  9. Adam

    April 5, 2017 at 5:52 pm

    Cheers lads appreciate the feedback!!

  10. Marcus

    April 5, 2017 at 3:10 pm

    Hi Alex,
    Great article. What do u think about position changes next week. Before the weekend and rfa hits.
    Jack Newnes- gone back to old role down back
    Brandon Ellis – definitely a backmen even tho he’s a spud
    Robbie Gray – add forward. Port have moved him up there and it’s paying dividends
    Liam Picken also.

    What do you think of theSe guys chances?

    They are all available in my league.

  11. Adam

    April 5, 2017 at 8:19 am

    Hi guys, thoughts on hanners? Is he a buy low or no go zone?

    Thanks

    • Adam

      April 5, 2017 at 8:49 am

      And matty boyd? Do you think he’s cooked?

      • Billy Hoyle

        April 5, 2017 at 10:32 am

        Boyd looks like hes the victim of rotating roles like Bevo has done with JJ and Bob Murphy but getting the poor end of the stick!

        • Alex Mulholland

          Alex Mulholland

          April 5, 2017 at 1:57 pm

          Hanners will come good eventually, should score well against Collingwood. Boyd will be okay this season, but I don’t really expect him to repeat his season last year. An average of about 85 is what you should be expecting.

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