The Prophet’s Profit is back with a bang for a 5th year! Here to take you through the ups and down of the fantasy season. The aim of this article is to empower you with knowledge of the current fantasy stock market.
The Prophet’s profit is back after a long, long weekend of footy in round 4. I’ve been playing this great game of draft league fantasy footy long enough to know that fantasy heartbreak can easily turn around into fantasy joy. Last week I had a crushing loss in my keeper league by 1 point, due to heroics from Alex Neal-Bullen and Gary Ablett. This week I was going into the Monday game defending a slim 80=point lead with Luke Hodge against three players. But the Hawks veteran got the job done in the last minute. As I was refreshing the scores I was down in the last minute, then Hodge got a kick, which was partially smothered, only to have the ball go straight back to him for another kick to hand me the victory by a solitary point!
— Alex (@AlexMulFP) April 18, 2017
Enough about my leagues, now is the time to start thinking about trades which will improve your team over the course of the season, and with so many players either over achieving or under achieving it’s a good time to take advantage of trades.
The young Melbourne utility has had a cracking start to the season. Those who took a chance on him late in their draft or off the waivers would be thrilled with him going at an average at a tick over 100. There is risk/reward with keeping him though, he could just as easily get a 40 this week and lose all of his value. Or you could flip him to a player that won’t lose their value by the odd poor score. If I owned him I’d be looking at getting a decent price for him.
Advice: Sell High
Westhoff has been averaging 73.3 to start the season which wouldn’t be the sort of return coaches would be expecting of him, considering he averaged 81 last year and 90 two weeks ago. However the Power have Carlton and Brisbane over the next two weeks, which look like prime games for the big man to get himself back into form. If you’re looking for an improvement to your forward line you could do worse that buying in Westhoff low, at least for a couple of weeks, then on sell him after that.
Advice: Buy Low
With the Bulldogs forward injury woes Luke Beveridge has said that the Dogs will have to revert to the forward set up adopted toward the back end of last season. Dunkley thrived in this system, averaging 84 over 17 games. After just one game for 70 points this season it’s well worth making an offer to Dunkley, who could pay dividends for your team.
Advice: Buy Low
This one hurts a bit. He’s been one of my favourites for a long time. He’s clearly playing a different role that doesn’t translate well into fantasy points, averaging just 67.5 for the year. The only redeeming feature is that he has improved his output each game with a 51, 68, 74 and 78. In 2014 he averaged 68.5 over the first four games of the season, then turned around following this and busted out 10 tons for the rest of the year and averaged over 105 from there on. Not saying that will happen this year, but it might. Damien Hardwick has to know he’s not getting the best out of Ellis, and it might only be a matter of time before he moves him into a position where he is getting more of the footy. Not saying a return to form definitely will happen, but there is a chance that it could. You won’t be taking a massive risk in getting him into your team if you buy him in on the cheap.
Advice: Buy Low
If you have any questions please leave a comment below and I’ll get back to you.