SuperCoach

SuperCoach Scout – Here Today, Gawn Tomorrow

MAX GAWN

Price: $510,900
Position: Ruck
Average: 95
Breakeven: 95

One of my good mates has three SuperCoach trades left. Three. There are still eight weeks left in the season and he has just three trades. My brother has only four.  Despite all this, despite being left with so few trades left, trades which, for now at least, should be held onto as insurance policies, both are struggling to find reasons as to why they shouldn’t bring Max Gawn into their side.

Fortunately, in both friendship and family SuperCoach circles, I’m faring better than my aforementioned associates, both with points on the board and trades in the bank, but the fact that these two are so keen to bring in Gawn despite not having much wiggle room left with such a sizeable portion of the season left to play out really highlights what an opportunity this is to snag one of the premium scorers in the game.

This story starts all the way back in Round 3 when Gawn suffered a serious hamstring injury against Geelong. It left him stranded on 27 SuperCoach points midway through the second quarter, and that would be the last we would see of the bearded giant for three months, as Melbourne were forced to soldier on without arguably their best player.

Fast-forward to two weeks ago, when Gawn finally made his return to senior football. Appearing as though he hadn’t missed a beat in those 12 weeks on the sidelines, Gawn powered his way to a handsome 113 against the Eagles in what was a famous win for the Demons. Many jumped on Gawn there and then, despite his breakeven dropping from 212 to a slightly less impossible 184, and despite the fact that he personally sent out a message to the SuperCoach world, warning prospective buyers to wait an extra week before taking the plunge.

Gawn fell well over $40k during that Eagles performance,  and then fell another $40k last week as well, when he scored 95 against the Swans. His price tag now sits at $510,900 – some $135k cheaper than what he was at the start of the season. But there’s better news to come for those keen on bringing Gawn into their team. This week, his breakeven stands at 95, which is certainly achievable, by his standards, but it’s definitely not something that he’s likely to surpass by any significant number, meaning that even if you’re not completely sold on trading him in, you can wait and watch an extra week before having to make your decision, and not be forced to find too much extra cash. Bear in mind, Melbourne will be tackling Carlton this week, which will feature Matthew Kreuzer, the in-form ruckman in the competition.

If we take away that 27 Gawn scored against the Cats, he is averaging 112 points so far this season, backing up his mighty 118.5 average last year as well. Besides, most ruckmen are in a position where they have a reason to be moved on. Aaron Sandilands will be a popular trade-out option this week. After returning for the first time in six weeks, Sandilands injured his hamstring whilst on 12 points, and will miss the rest of the season. Most SuperCoaches will have started with him hoping his body could hold up for the first half of the season before upgrading him. He averaged 95 in the first nine games, so he definitely did his job, but it’s time to move him on.

Toby Nankervis scored 108 last week, but it was his first ton since Round 9, and he’s starting to tire on the home straight. Considering his breakeven is set at 75, maybe you could keep him for one more week to see if last week was a return to form or a blip on the recent radar. Be wary that swapping Nankervis for Gawn will likely get a bit messy if you’ve got Nank sitting in the forward line.

Most other popular ruckman have their cons as well. Stefan Martin seems to struggle when his partner in crime Archie Smith is playing and is prone to the odd low score, Paddy Ryder’s average of 95.7 is very good but not quite what we want from a No.1 ruckman, and Brodie Grundy had a mid-season hiccup but seems to have settled over the last five weeks. With all this in mind, it makes the acquisition of Gawn seem all the more logical. Locking in that big name ruckman that you can bank on getting a big score every week is such a pivotal asset to have, and Gawn also stamps himself as a likely captain loophole option as well.

There will be several elite midfielders falling through the floor in value in a few week’s time, but there won’t be a quality ruckman being this cheap for a long time. Regardless of whether you’ve got the trades, Max Gawn is a ruckman that you simply can’t afford to miss out on. Not at this price.

Follow Matthew Donald on Twitter

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