The Weekend Forecast – Round 5

It’s comical when media commentators can laud a team one week, and put the blowtorch on them the very next week. Such is the media circus being played out at the moment with Collingwood’s season.

Huge win in Sydney one week, then a poor performance against St Kilda the next. Magpie fans must be swiching off from the media hype in their droves, as Nathan Buckley’s future becomes constant fodder for the headline makers.

Let’s take a look at some of the talking points and predictions for this weekends slate of games, in another marathon round of the AFL, this is the Weekend Forecast.

Match Of The Round  – Sydney vs Greater Western Sydney

Some of the Swans big guns return in another episode of the Battle Of The Bridge on Saturday night at the SCG. It’s a match Sydney simply cannot afford to lose.


FB   Nick Smith, Heath Grundy, Zak Jones
HB  Harry Marsh, Lewis Melican, Jake Lloyd
C      Harry Cunningham, Josh P. Kennedy, Callum Mills
HF   Will Hayward, Lance Franklin, George Hewett
FF    Kieren Jack, Sam Reid, Tom Papley
FOL  Kurt Tippett, Luke Parker, Dan Hannebery
I/C   Jordan Foote, Isaac Heeney, Gary Rohan, Callum Sinclair


FB    Nathan Wilson, Adam Tomlinson, Aidan Corr
HB   Nick Haynes,Phil Davis, Heath Shaw
C       Josh Kelly, Callan Ward, Tom Scully
HF   Adam Kennedy, Jeremy Cameron, Toby Greene
FF     Devon Smith, Jonathon Patton, Rory Lobb
FOL  Shane Mumford, Dylan Shiel, Jacob Hopper
I/C    Steve Johnson, Sam J. Reid, Matthew Kennedy, Zac Williams

Head to Head Market
Sydney  $2.75
GWS      $1.45
Sydney have a +13.5 start on the line market.

With Ross Lyon pushing Lachie Neale and David Mundy forward, maybe they could be a nice First Goal Scorer option should the trend continue, particularly at home against the Kangas.
Lachie Neale, Nat Fyfe and David Mundy are all paying $15 each.
Neale and Mundy kicked 7 goals between them last week.

Owen- A Nice Enough Bloke Who Just Won’t Leave

There’s always winless teams at the foot of the ladder, but usually its developing teams.

With North, Sydney and the Hawks all winless at 0-4, and all have been immensely successful in recent years, you get the feeling that the delayed inevitable comeback is just around the corner for these established teams

But is it?

Is a Freo style bungee-jump down the ladder now par for the course in modern footy?

History suggests that 0-4 teams rarely make finals, but at this point, I’m just not ready to put a line through the teams, particularly the Swans who have some stars back in the fray this week.

The internet phenomenon of Owen Wilson’s knock-knock joke memes last year directed at disgruntled Fremantle fans, have flourished in 2017 with 3 teams the subject of this form of ridicule, his face is everywhere and there’s only one way to banish it.

Who’s On Fire
Where has this been from waiver wire sensation Brandon Matera ?

He has been struggling to keep his place in the Gold Coast side, but over the last two weeks has put in some absolute monster games. Why hasn’t Brandon been playing this kind of footy before?? It’s not like Tom Lynch hasn’t been there to crumb goals off. Will his bubble burst?

Here’s hoping Matera rewards those waiver wire hunters who have taken a punt on him and played him in their fantasy and DFS squads, with some consistent efforts for the rest of the year.

Ultimate Footy Fantasy Points – Brandon Matera
2017 – 122.5
2016 –  65.6
2015 – 70.7

Who’s Under Fire
The Sydney Swans midfield are not firing the engine room of the red and white machine. They are losing contested possessions week on week, the 2016 Swans were winning the contested ball by an average differential of 11.5. The forward line cannot function like it should, and will be tested by the emerging GWS midfield talent. Kieran Jack, and to a lesser extent Dan Hannebery and Luke Parker must find a way this week to get on top in hard ball gets etc.

Kieran Jack 
2016 – 22.7 Disp, 5.5 Tackles
2017 –  16 Disp,  2.5 Tackles

It could be almost time to put “Kizza” in the twos for a week, the former captain must do better this week to earn his spot. He was instrumental in the Swans “Slingshot” attacking game style in recent years. Named as a forward this week.

Ladder Scenarios

16   Geelong
16   Adelaide
16   Richmond
12   GWS
12   West Coast
12   Western Bulldogs
8     Port Adelaide
8     Melbourne
8     Gold Coast
8     St Kilda
8     Essendon
8     Fremantle
4     Collingwood
4     Carlton
4     Brisbane
0     Sydney
0     Nth Melb
0     Hawthorn

Adelaide are expected to beat Gold Coast, while Essendon losing to Collingwood, Melbourne losing to Richmond, Geelong over St Kilda are very real possibilities. What this will do is catapult Fremantle into the eight, if they can get over the winless Kangaroos at home. It can happen folks!

Another 5 day bonanza of footy, culminating in the Anzac Day clash at the “G” to look forward to.
Many highlights to follow, enjoy !

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