Your first selection in a fantasy draft is more important than any other. It’s the guy that you hope will be consistent all year for your fantasy team and give you the edge over your opponents.
You can’t win your fantasy league in the first round, but you can definitely lose it. Not picking the right player here can put your team on the back foot right from the get go.
You’re unlikely to have more preparation for any other pick than you will your first round draft pick, it’s the pick you have the most time to think about in the lead up to your draft. Considering the popularity of players in the first round of your 2015 fantasy draft, don’t be surprised if you see the player you want get taken one pick before you want them.
In this situation it’s important not to panic, I’ve seen many a fantasy drafter get so worked up over missing out that they’ll select the next best player from the same position as the player they wanted, even though the player they originally wanted might’ve been in a tier of their own in that position.
This is why it’s so important that you have a realistic list of 3 to 4 players that you’re happy to select in the first round. Most importantly it has to be realistic that these players will fall to you. If you’re sitting there at 10th pick you can safely cross Tom Rockliff, Gary Ablett and Scott Pendlebury off your list.
In terms of players not to take in the first round it’s a difficult question but one that needs to be answered. Consistency is key here, make sure you get a player that will be there for you the whole year. Players with injury history or bad suspension records are usually the first ones to avoid. Speculative guys who you are expecting to come on and break out to first round value are also ones to avoid in the first round, worry about those guys after the first round.
Here’s a definitive list of players not to select in the first round of your 2015 fantasy draft.
There’s not many players I prefer to watch than Swanny. As a pies fan it’s simply electrifying when Swanny takes control of a game and takes it away from our opponents (remember Anzac Day 2014). He’s been doing the same thing in fantasy football for years. Good enough reason to select him with your first round pick right? Wrong!
Some people may disagree, but I’m definitely leaving Swanny alone inside the first round. With your first round pick you need someone that’s going to deliver close to 22 games at 100 or over. I just think with the injury niggles he had last season if there’s any sign of a niggle the pies will wrap him in cotton wool.
I also think he’ll be spending considerably more time up forward following the inclusion of Levi Greenwood and the development of the likes of Taylor Adams, Ben Kennedy, Nathan Freeman, Tim Broomhead and Josh Thomas all fighting for midfield spots.
Many are rating the young Giants midfielder worthy of a first round selection. They can definitely make an argument considering the massive numbers he put up at the end of last season.
I for one won’t be selecting him in the first round, simply because he’s proven he can turn a fantastic season one year into a stinker the following year, not that I think he’ll do that this year but he’s one of those players that I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes 120+ and I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes sub 85. He has such a massive ceiling, but his floor is also very low. He’s the quintessential risk/reward pick for 2015.
There’s a lot of questions for me about his role in the Giants midfield. With the addition of Ryan Griffen adding to the staples of Adam Treloar, Callan Ward and Dylan Shiel along with the continued development of Lachie Whitfield, Josh Kelly and Stephen Coniglio I’m just not sure Greene gets enough time in that midfield, he’s not exactly damaging with the footy which might mean he’s the first one Leon Cameron omits from that midfield. Fantasy points don’t always = coaches choice. Just ask Liam Anthony.
Yes backs are scarce this year, however I still think grabbing a high scoring midfielder or forward and getting a back in the next few rounds will hold you in better stead.
The omission of Nick Malceski has McVeigh lined up for more time off half back than through the midfield according to Sydney coach John Longmire. Spending less time in the midfield might see a slight drop off from his fantasy average of 97 from last season.
I’m all for taking Buddy in the second or third round, he has huge upside. From round 10 onwards last season when Kurt Tippett came into the side he averaged over 110 fantasy points, which is enormous for a forward.
However he does produce the odd stinker which can cost your team, and he is known to have inconsistent spells of form at times. This just isn’t worth the risk as a first round selection. Grab a solid player in the first then grab Buddy the second time around or even in the third round!
This is perhaps the most controversial call of them all, but is one I’ve made from an educated guess.
Although Deledio has been given forward eligibility in Ultimate Footy leagues, and is being taken in many a fantasy draft first round so far he’s not a guy I’ll be selecting in the first round.
In an ask the coach Q&A session Damien Hardwick told afl.com.au that he expects Deledio to play the majority of his footy up forward. Translating to a reduction in midfield time for Deledio, which will lead to a reduction in his output from previous seasons.
How the first round should go
My 1st round rankings:
1. Tom Rockliff
2. Gary Abblett
3. Scott Pendlebury
4. Dustin Martin
5. Michael Barlow
6. Dayne Beams
7. Brendan Goddard
8. Joel Selwood
9. Dyson Heppell
10. Steele Sidebottom